A Blast from the Past: How 19th-Century Scientists Saw Global Warming Coming

19th-century scientists established the foundational physics of global warming by identifying the greenhouse effect and the heat-trapping properties of carbon dioxide long before modern climate concerns emerged. In 1824, Joseph Fourier proposed that the atmosphere traps heat, while Eunice Newton Foote and John Tyndall experimentally confirmed in the 1850s that CO2 and water vapor are potent heat-trapping gases. By 1896, Svante Arrhenius created the first climate model, accurately predicting that doubling atmospheric CO2 would raise global temperatures, though he underestimated the rapidity of industrial emissions.

When we think about the climate crisis, our minds often jump to the modern-day scientists in lab coats, furrowing their brows over computer models and climate graphs. But what if I told you that some of the first whispers of global warming came from the minds of scientists over a century ago? Yes, you heard that right! The 19th century wasn’t just about top hats and horse-drawn carriages; it was also a time when some brilliant minds were already peeking into the future of our planet.

Let’s rewind to the 1820s, a time when people were still figuring out how to properly use a spoon. Enter Joseph Fourier, a French mathematician and physicist who had a hunch that our Earth was keeping some secrets under wraps. Fourier was the first to propose the concept of the greenhouse effect, suggesting that the Earth’s atmosphere traps heat, much like a cozy blanket. Who knew that a few centuries later, we’d be complaining about our own cozy blanket being a bit too warm?

Fast forward to the 1850s, and we meet John Tyndall, an Irish physicist who decided to take Fourier’s ideas and run with them. Tyndall conducted experiments that demonstrated how certain gases, like carbon dioxide and methane, absorb heat. It’s as if he was the original climate detective, piecing together clues about how our atmosphere works. He even went so far as to suggest that increasing levels of carbon dioxide could lead to a warmer Earth. Spoiler alert: he was right.

But wait, there’s more! In the late 1800s, we have Svante Arrhenius, a Swedish scientist who took Tyndall’s findings and cranked the dial up to eleven. Arrhenius calculated that doubling the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere could raise global temperatures by as much as 5 to 6 degrees Celsius. Now, this was back when the world was still trying to figure out how to put a man on the moon, let alone understand the complexities of climate science. Arrhenius was basically predicting the future while most people were just trying to keep their horses from eating their hats.

Now, you might be wondering, why didn’t anyone listen to these guys? Well, it turns out that the 19th century had a bit of a habit of ignoring science in favor of more pressing matters, like inventing the telephone or figuring out which way to wear a bowler hat. Plus, the industrial revolution was in full swing, and nobody wanted to rain on the parade of progress with talk of carbon emissions and melting ice caps.

Fast forward to today, and we’re all too aware of the consequences of ignoring these early warnings. The climate crisis is no longer a distant threat; it’s knocking at our door, and it’s not just delivering pizza. But the remarkable foresight of those 19th-century scientists serves as a reminder that our understanding of the climate has deep roots. They were the unsung heroes who dared to raise the alarm, even when it fell on deaf ears.

So the next time you find yourself scrolling through climate change news or debating the latest climate report, take a moment to appreciate the scientists who laid the groundwork for our understanding of global warming. They may not have had the flashy technology we have today, but their insights were ahead of their time. And hey, if they could predict our current situation without the aid of smartphones, just imagine what they could’ve done with a TikTok account!

In conclusion, while we’re busy grappling with the consequences of climate change, let’s tip our hats to the 19th-century scientists who saw it coming long before we did. They may not have had the luxury of social media to spread their message, but their legacy lives on in our quest to save the planet. So, here’s to Fourier, Tyndall, and Arrhenius—three guys who had a lot more foresight than most of us today. Let’s hope we can live up to their expectations before it’s too late!


Inspired by: “How 19th-Century Scientists Predicted Global Warming – JSTOR Daily” (r/climatechange)